In November last year, Kathryn Bigelows "Zero Dark Thirty" still seemed to be the prime contender for "Best Picture". Almost every (American) critic loved it. But when the nominees were announced things changed by almost 180 degrees. Bigelow wasn't even nominated in the director's category and all the controversy surrounding her film weakened its chances. Lincoln then seemed to be the most obvious choice. But the last couple of weeks showed another unexpected trend. Ben Affleck's tense thriller "Argo" was sweeping most of the important awards including DGA, PGA, SAG and Critics Choice Award. However, Affleck is also not nominated as best director which is really odd since he got the appreciation by the Directors Guild. So if "Argo" wins best picture after all the recent buzz it would be only the fourth time that the corresponding director would not recieve a trophy. It's gonna be an interesting night this time.
So here are my guesses in all 24 categories:
Best Motion Picture of the Year
"Argo" will win deservedly.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Daniel Day Lewis will drink all their milkshakes as Lincoln.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
I would vote for Emmanuelle Riva for "Amour". But I guess the award will go to Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
This is gonna be a close race between Robert DeNiro, Tommy Lee Jones and Christoph Waltz, even though I guess Waltz would rather be a surprise. I'm going with Tommy Lee Jones.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables
Best Achievement in Directing
Spielberg is gonna win. Second choice would be Ang Lee. Haneke could be in for an upset maybe.
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Somehow this could be the category for Tarantino this time. But I think his screenplay was rather undisciplined. My choice is Haneke and his screenplay for Amour which was just brillant.
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Argo needs to win more than just one award, I guess. But this will fall to Tony Kushner for Lincoln.
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Well, frankly I haven't seen any of these so I am going with the most popular choice: Wreck-it Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Maybe the easiest category of the night: Amour
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Life of Pi: Claudio Miranda
Best Achievement in Editing
Argo: William Goldenberg
Best Achievement in Production Design
Lincoln: Rick Carter, Jim Erickson
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Anna Karenina: Jacqueline Durran
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Les Misérables: Lisa Westcott, Julie Dartnell
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
Life of Pi: Mychael Danna
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
Skyfall: Adele, Paul Epworth("Skyfall")
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
As every year, the sound mixing/editing category is hard to estimate... I have no idea to be honest.
Les Misérables: Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, Simon Hayes
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Zero Dark Thirty: Paul N.J. Ottosson
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Life of Pi: Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik De Boer, Donald Elliott
Best Documentary, Feature
Searching for Sugar Man: Malik Bendjelloul, Simon Chinn
Best Documentary, Short Subject
Not seen any of those either ...
Open Heart: Kief Davidson, Cori Shepherd Stern
Best Short Film, Animated
Paperman: John Kahrs
Best Short Film, Live Action
Curfew: Shawn Christensen
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