In November last year, Kathryn Bigelows "Zero Dark Thirty" still seemed to be the prime contender for "Best Picture". Almost every (American) critic loved it. But when the nominees were announced things changed by almost 180 degrees. Bigelow wasn't even nominated in the director's category and all the controversy surrounding her film weakened its chances. Lincoln then seemed to be the most obvious choice. But the last couple of weeks showed another unexpected trend. Ben Affleck's tense thriller "Argo" was sweeping most of the important awards including DGA, PGA, SAG and Critics Choice Award. However, Affleck is also not nominated as best director which is really odd since he got the appreciation by the Directors Guild. So if "Argo" wins best picture after all the recent buzz it would be only the fourth time that the corresponding director would not recieve a trophy. It's gonna be an interesting night this time.
So here are my guesses in all 24 categories: